Match

Nesebar vs Montana: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gradski stadion, Nesebar

NesebarMontana

The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Montana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nesebar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nesebar vs Montana?

Nesebar starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,548).

50%26%24%
Nesebar winDrawMontana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Nesebar vs Montana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Nesebar

4-3-3
  1. 77S. Statev
  2. 99Kristiyan Parashkevov
  3. 11Daniel Cabanelas
  1. 8Viktor Kunev
  2. 22R. Ismailov
  3. 10V. Dotsev
  1. 14Dimitar Balinov
  2. 3D. Lastardzhiev
  3. 5P. Dimov
  4. 21S. Pergelov
  1. 13Martin Sheytanov

Montana

4-3-3
  1. 25V. Vasilev
  2. 7M. Milushev
  3. 11O. Aliev
  1. 3H. Ivanov
  2. 20G. Karakashev
  3. 10S. Kamenov
  1. 5D. Avramov
  2. 4Dejan Kuzmanović
  3. 18M. Balakov
  4. 24Boril Grigorov
  1. 30V. Simeonov

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:09 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nesebar have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Montana have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nesebar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-0Second League
Oct 4, 2026Rodopa Smolyan(away)3-1Cup
Sep 27, 2026Vihren(away)0-2Second League
Sep 20, 2026Beroe(home)4-3Second League
Sep 15, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away)1-1Second League
Montana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Ludogorets II(home)2-3Second League
Oct 4, 2026Bdin(away)2-0Cup
Sep 27, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away)0-2Second League
Sep 21, 2026Hebar 1918(home)0-5Second League
Sep 13, 2026CSKA Sofia II(away)0-4Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nesebar wins, 1 draw, 5 Montana wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Montana 3-1 NesebarSecond League
Apr 6, 2025Nesebar 1-3 MontanaSecond League
Sep 28, 2024Montana 2-0 NesebarSecond League
May 23, 2019Nesebar 1-2 MontanaSecond League
Nov 26, 2018Montana 3-1 NesebarSecond League
Mar 31, 2018Nesebar 1-1 MontanaSecond League

Last archived meeting: Montana vs Nesebar on Aug 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nesebar score 2.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montana score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nesebar2.31.449/158/15
Montana1.31.947/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nesebar sit 7th in Second League (18 points from 12 matches) and Montana sit 15th (11 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Nesebar12534201718
15Montana12327152611

A question about Nesebar vs Montana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nesebar vs Montana?
The Footlab AI model makes Nesebar the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Montana.
Where and when is Nesebar vs Montana played?
Nesebar vs Montana is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gradski stadion, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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