Lithuania vs Suriname: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos stadionas, Marijampolė
The Footlab AI model makes Suriname the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lithuania. The most likely score is 1-1. If Suriname wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lithuania vs Suriname?
Suriname starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (1,574 vs 1,279).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lithuania vs Suriname
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lithuania
3-4-3- 10A. Kučys
- 14V. Slivka
- 7A. Dolžnikov
- 6M. Vorobjovas
- 13J. Lasickas
- 15G. Gineitis
- 21A. Lickūnas
- 20R. Lekiatas
- 3E. Utkus
- 18V. Armalas
- 12T. Švedkauskas
Suriname
4-2-3-1- 7G. Kerk
- 22K. Paal
- 16Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 11D. Cleonise
- 6I. Pherai
- 8J. Lonwijk
- 12M. Abena
- 21L. van Gelderen
- 19S. Pinas
- 5Y. Leliendal
- 23E. Vaessen
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lithuania have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Suriname have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Andorra(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Azerbaijan(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Liechtenstein(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Estonia(away) | 0-1 | Baltic Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Guatemala(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guatemala(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Martinique(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Honduras(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Bolivia(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Lithuania score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Suriname score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lithuania | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Suriname | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Lithuania vs Suriname?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lithuania vs Suriname?
- The Footlab AI model makes Suriname the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Lithuania.
- Where and when is Lithuania vs Suriname played?
- Lithuania vs Suriname is played on November 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Marijampolės futbolo arenos stadionas, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.