Match

Lito vs Wanderers: prediction and stats

Copa UruguayRound of 16Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)

LitoWanderers

The Footlab AI model makes Lito the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lito wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lito vs Wanderers?

A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Lito (1,686) and Wanderers (1,733).

38%26%36%
Lito winDrawWanderers win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lito vs Wanderers

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lito

Not enough data to predict the Lito lineup.

Wanderers

4-3-3
  1. 30F. Labandeira
  2. 10L. Cosentino
  3. 24J. Zeballos
  1. 5N. Queiroz
  2. 16J. Alberti
  3. 21S. Benitez
  1. 31N. Furtado
  2. 15D. Mencia
  3. 2N. Cabral
  4. 13F. Formiliano
  1. 33A. Buffa

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Lito have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Wanderers have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2023SUD America(home)0-2Copa Uruguay
Sep 21, 2023Huracán Treinta y Tres(away)1-0Copa Uruguay
Aug 23, 2023Paso de la Arena(home)3-1Copa Uruguay
Aug 12, 2023Estudiantes del Plata(home)1-1Copa Uruguay
Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Penarol(away)1-1Primera División
Oct 25, 2026Progreso(home)0-1Primera División
Oct 17, 2026Racing Montevideo(away)0-3Primera División
Oct 10, 2026Boston River(home)1-3Primera División
Oct 7, 2026Cerrito(away)2-2Copa Uruguay

How many goals should we expect?

Lito score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 4; Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lito1.31.012/41/4
Wanderers1.11.9210/158/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

A question about Lito vs Wanderers?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lito vs Wanderers?
The Footlab AI model makes Lito the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Wanderers.
Where and when is Lito vs Wanderers played?
Lito vs Wanderers is played on November 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa Uruguay.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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