Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 13Kick-off on October 26, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo
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What was the result of Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso?
Liverpool Montevideo won 3-1 on October 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′Lucas Acosta MorenoLiverpool Montevideo
- 44′N. OliveraProgreso
- 67′M. CastroLiverpool Montevideo
- 90′A. HernándezLiverpool Montevideo (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool Montevideo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Progreso have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 3, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Liverpool Montevideo win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Progreso win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Progreso 0-2 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Liverpool Montevideo 2-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Progreso 2-1 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo 0-1 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 4, 2021 | Progreso 1-3 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Progreso 0-4 Liverpool Montevideo | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Progreso vs Liverpool Montevideo on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool Montevideo score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progreso score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Progreso | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool Montevideo sit 3rd in Primera División - Clausura (65 points from 37 matches) and Progreso sit 12th (39 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Liverpool Montevideo | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 65 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy