Cerro vs Penarol: result 2-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, Montevideo
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What was the result of Cerro vs Penarol?
Cerro won 2-0 on October 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′E. LarrosaCerro
- 54′I. NeiraCerro
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Penarol have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Atletico Torque(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Progreso(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Miramar(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Danubio(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Cerro Largo(away) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cerro win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Penarol win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2025 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Penarol 3-1 Cerro | Primera División |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Cerro 0-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Penarol 3-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Penarol 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Penarol | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro sit 10th in Primera División - Clausura (46 points from 37 matches) and Penarol sit 2nd (78 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy