Livorno vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno
The Footlab model makes Livorno the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livorno vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Livorno (1,828) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livorno have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Torres(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Reggiana(home) | 3-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pontedera(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Livorno win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0-2 Livorno | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Livorno 0-1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Livorno 2-3 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Livorno on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Livorno score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livorno | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livorno sit 5th in Serie C - Girone B (3 points from 1 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Livorno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livorno vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab model makes Livorno the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
- Where and when is Livorno vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Livorno vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Armando Picchi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.