Vis Pesaro vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 25Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Tonino Benelli, Pesaro
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Vis Pesaro. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vis Pesaro vs Spezia?
Spezia starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,942 vs 1,717).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vis Pesaro vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vis Pesaro
4-3-3- 9F. Nicastro
- 47A. Konate
- 80G. Gambino
- 10M. Di Paola
- 7M. Pucciarelli
- 30G. Maucci
- 2N. Conti
- 3Gioacchino Barranco
- 45P. Giorgini
- 5D. Tonucci
- 25A. Gomis
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 11A. Cardinali
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 20S. Bastoni
- 13M. Å apola
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 72S. Capolupo
- 1A. Micai
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 09:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vis Pesaro have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Spezia have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Atalanta II(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Latina(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Latina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ravenna(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vis Pesaro wins, 0 draws, 1 Spezia win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2026 | Spezia 3-1 Vis Pesaro | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vis Pesaro score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vis Pesaro | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Spezia | 1.9 | 0.5 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vis Pesaro sit 20th in Serie C - Girone B (4 points from 11 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (29 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 29 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 4 |
A question about Vis Pesaro vs Spezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vis Pesaro vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Vis Pesaro.
- Where and when is Vis Pesaro vs Spezia played?
- Vis Pesaro vs Spezia is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Tonino Benelli, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.