Livorno vs Lucchese: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 18, 2016 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Armando Picchi, Livorno
Full time
What was the result of Livorno vs Lucchese?
Livorno and Lucchese drew 1-1 on September 18, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 15′D. VenitucciLivorno
- 85′N. MingazziniLucchese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livorno have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Lucchese have 0, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2016 | Como(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Carrarese(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Alessandria(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Racing Roma(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 18, 2014 | Parma(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2016 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Alessandria(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Olbia(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Piacenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Livorno score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 0.8 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livorno | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Lucchese | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy