Piacenza vs Lucchese: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 16Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Leonardo Garilli, Piacenza
The Footlab AI model makes Piacenza the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Piacenza wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Piacenza vs Lucchese?
Piacenza starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,904 vs 1,761).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Piacenza vs Lucchese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Piacenza
Not enough data to predict the Piacenza lineup.
Lucchese
4-3-3- 9S. Magnaghi
- 10A. Selvini
- 19F. Fedato
- 21E. Visconti
- 27R. Gucher
- 70E. Saporiti
- 5S. Benedetti
- 29E. Antoni
- 30A. Gemignani
- 3N. Rizzo
- 59R. Melgrati
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Piacenza have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Lucchese have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Nibbiano & Valtidone(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pro Palazzolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Piacenza wins, 1 draw, 1 Lucchese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2021 | Piacenza 1-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Lucchese 1-0 Piacenza | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Lucchese 1-2 Piacenza | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Piacenza 1-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Piacenza 1-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 1, 2017 | Lucchese 0-1 Piacenza | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Piacenza score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piacenza | 2.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lucchese | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Piacenza vs Lucchese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Piacenza vs Lucchese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Piacenza the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lucchese.
- Where and when is Piacenza vs Lucchese played?
- Piacenza vs Lucchese is played on November 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Leonardo Garilli, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.