Llantwit Major vs Ely Rangers: result 3-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup1st RoundKick-off on September 21, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
Full time
What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Ely Rangers?
Llantwit Major won 3-2 on September 21, 2024.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ely Rangers have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2024 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Taffs Well(home) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Trefelin(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2023 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 1-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Barry Town(away) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Aberbargoed Buds(home) | 6-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Bryntirion Athletic(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ely Rangers score 2.8 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ely Rangers | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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