Llerenense vs Villanovense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 14Group 14 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Robina, Llerena
The Footlab AI model makes Llerenense the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Villanovense. The most likely score is 0-0. If Llerenense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llerenense vs Villanovense?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Llerenense (1,820) and Villanovense (1,859).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Llerenense vs Villanovense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Llerenense
Not enough data to predict the Llerenense lineup.
Villanovense
Not enough data to predict the Villanovense lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 12:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llerenense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Villanovense have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Plasencia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Castuera(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Puebla Calzada(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gévora(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Jaraíz(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jerez(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadiana(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Azuaga(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cabeza Buey(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Llerenense win, 1 draw, 4 Villanovense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villanovense 0-1 Llerenense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Llerenense 0-2 Villanovense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Villanovense 1-0 Llerenense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Villanovense 1-0 Llerenense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Llerenense 0-0 Villanovense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Villanovense 2-0 Llerenense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
Last archived meeting: Villanovense vs Llerenense on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llerenense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Villanovense score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llerenense | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Villanovense | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llerenense sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (20 points from 8 matches) and Villanovense sit 5th (17 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Llerenense | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 17 |
A question about Llerenense vs Villanovense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llerenense vs Villanovense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Llerenense the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Villanovense.
- Where and when is Llerenense vs Villanovense played?
- Llerenense vs Villanovense is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Robina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.