Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948: prediction and stats
Primera PremierRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
The Footlab AI model makes Zacatepec 1948 the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Lobos ULMX. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zacatepec 1948 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948?
Zacatepec 1948 starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,787).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lobos ULMX
Not enough data to predict the Lobos ULMX lineup.
Zacatepec 1948
4-3-3- 27G. Ramírez
- 18E. Pérez
- 26E. Trejo
- 5A. Cirigliano
- 11J. Cardozo
- 31L. Olascoaga
- 3L. Trejo
- 30J. Akrong
- 2R. Cuba
- 25D. Martínez
- 13A. Duarte
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos ULMX have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Zacatepec 1948 have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(away) | 0-2 | Primera Premier |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Irapuato(away) | 0-3 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tigres de Alica(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Cabos United(home) | 1-2 | Primera Premier |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Reboceros La Piedad(home) | 2-2 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cordobés(away) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 19, 2026 | H2O Purepechas(home) | 1-0 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tritons Vallarta(away) | 1-1 | Primera Premier |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lobos ULMX(home) | 2-1 | Primera Premier |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Lobos ULMX win, 1 draw, 3 Zacatepec 1948 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948 2-1 Lobos ULMX | Primera Premier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Zacatepec 1948 0-0 Lobos ULMX | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lobos ULMX 0-1 Zacatepec 1948 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Zacatepec 1948 1-2 Lobos ULMX | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Lobos ULMX 1-4 Zacatepec 1948 | Liga Premier Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Zacatepec 1948 vs Lobos ULMX on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos ULMX score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zacatepec 1948 score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos ULMX | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Zacatepec 1948 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos ULMX sit 16th in Primera Premier (4 points from 6 matches) and Zacatepec 1948 sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Zacatepec 1948 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Lobos ULMX | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zacatepec 1948 the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Lobos ULMX.
- Where and when is Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948 played?
- Lobos ULMX vs Zacatepec 1948 is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, in the Primera Premier.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.