Lobos Upnfm vs Estrella Roja: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga NacionalApertura - 3Kick-off on August 15, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Full time
What was the result of Lobos Upnfm vs Estrella Roja?
Lobos Upnfm and Estrella Roja drew 2-2 on August 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 56′S. ElvirLobos Upnfm
- 59′673162Estrella Roja
- 77′D. CarterLobos Upnfm
- 88′672249Estrella Roja
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Lobos Upnfm win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Lobos Upnfm vs Estrella Roja
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lobos Upnfm
- 7L. Hurtado
- 11S. Elvir
- 32M. Baquedano
- 6J. Ponce
- 8J. Núñez
- 13M. Rodríguez
- 2D. Suazo
- 4J. García
- 5A. Zúñiga
- 24O. Elvir
- 12A. Güity
Estrella Roja
- 12M. García
- 18N. Luna
- 6R. Mayorquín
- 30C. Cálix
- 1V. Moreira
- 2L. Juarez
- 8J. Velasquez
- 15J. Padilla
- 19J. Gutierrez
- 23E. Gomez
- 69J. Lopez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lobos Upnfm have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Estrella Roja have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olancho(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CD Olimpia(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| May 1, 2026 | CD Motagua(home) | 2-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Juticalpa(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Génesis(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | CD Motagua(away) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Olancho(home) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Dec 9, 2012 | Guatire(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 5, 2012 | Arroceros Calabozo(away) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2012 | Monagas II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lobos Upnfm score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Estrella Roja score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos Upnfm | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Estrella Roja | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lobos Upnfm sit 7th in Liga Nacional (15 points from 12 matches) and Estrella Roja sit 8th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lobos Upnfm | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Estrella Roja | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Lobos Upnfm vs Estrella Roja?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy