Match

Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 13Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas, Juticalpa

OlanchoLobos Upnfm

The Footlab AI model makes Olancho the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lobos Upnfm. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olancho wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Olancho (1,675) and Lobos Upnfm (1,597).

45%25%30%
Olancho winDrawLobos Upnfm win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Olancho

4-3-3
  1. 27J. Bengtson
  2. 20Y. A. Cabrera
  3. 30M. Ramírez
  1. 2O. Almendárez
  2. 33N. Muñoz
  3. 8H. Gomez
  1. 7D. Rodríguez
  2. 22Robertino Canavesio
  3. 3J. Lasso
  4. 5D. Martinez
  1. 29G. Argueta

Lobos Upnfm

4-3-3
  1. 11S. Elvir
  2. 32M. Baquedano
  3. 16D. Carter
  1. 13M. Rodríguez
  2. 6J. Ponce
  3. 8J. Núñez
  1. 24O. Elvir
  2. 2D. Suazo
  3. 3G. Rodas
  4. 25M. Santos
  1. 12A. Güity

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:22 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olancho have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Lobos Upnfm have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olancho
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Platense FC(home)4-1Liga Nacional
Oct 15, 2026CD Marathon(away)1-2Liga Nacional
Oct 11, 2026Atletico Independiente(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Sep 19, 2026Génesis(away)0-0Liga Nacional
Sep 12, 2026Real Espana(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Lobos Upnfm
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Génesis(home)4-3Liga Nacional
Oct 25, 2026CD Olimpia(home)0-1Liga Nacional
Oct 18, 2026Atletico Independiente(away)4-0Liga Nacional
Oct 11, 2026CD Marathon(home)0-0Liga Nacional
Sep 18, 2026Platense FC(away)2-0Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olancho win, 4 draws, 1 Lobos Upnfm win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Lobos Upnfm 1-1 OlanchoLiga Nacional
Mar 24, 2026Lobos Upnfm 2-1 OlanchoLiga Nacional
Feb 2, 2026Olancho 1-1 Lobos UpnfmLiga Nacional
Nov 8, 2025Olancho 1-1 Lobos UpnfmLiga Nacional
Sep 10, 2025Lobos Upnfm 1-1 OlanchoLiga Nacional
Apr 28, 2025Olancho 3-2 Lobos UpnfmLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: Lobos Upnfm vs Olancho on Aug 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Olancho score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lobos Upnfm score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olancho1.21.1410/155/15
Lobos Upnfm1.11.345/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olancho sit 5th in Liga Nacional (16 points from 12 matches) and Lobos Upnfm sit 7th (15 points from 12 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Olancho12372151216
7Lobos Upnfm12435151615

A question about Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm?
The Footlab AI model makes Olancho the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Lobos Upnfm.
Where and when is Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm played?
Olancho vs Lobos Upnfm is played on November 4, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Ramón Brevé Vargas, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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