Lochee United vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Thomson Park, Dundee
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Lochee United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lochee United vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Lochee United (1,606) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lochee United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(home) | 5-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Musselburgh Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Broxburn Athletic(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunipace(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lochee United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lochee United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lochee United sit 12th in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 5 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Lochee United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lochee United vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Lochee United.
- Where and when is Lochee United vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
- Lochee United vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Thomson Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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