Lokomotiv Sofia vs Kariana Erden: result 2-0 and analysis
Second LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 30, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Full time
What was the result of Lokomotiv Sofia vs Kariana Erden?
Lokomotiv Sofia won 2-0 on September 30, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kariana Erden have 1, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2018 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Botev Galabovo(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Arda Kardzhali(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Pomorie(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Aug 27, 2018 | Tsarsko Selo(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2018 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Nesebar(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Litex(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kariana Erden score 0.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Kariana Erden | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy