CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vitosha, Bistrica
The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Lokomotiv Sofia. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
CSKA 1948 starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,901 vs 1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA 1948 have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Panathinaikos(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSKA 1948(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Levski Sofia(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CSKA 1948 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lokomotiv Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-3 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | CSKA 1948 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| May 14, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSKA 1948 1-4 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA 1948 score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA 1948 sit 4th in First League (13 points from 6 matches) and Lokomotiv Sofia sit 13th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
- Where and when is CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vitosha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.