CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vitosha, Bistrica
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lokomotiv Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA 1948 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
CSKA 1948 starts as the favourite with a 180-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CSKA 1948
4-2-3-1- 11G. Rusev
- 8M. Zemzemi
- 30J. Meyer
- 10B. Tsonev
- 34P. Vitanov
- 20B. Sobrero
- 33H. Cuellar
- 3L. Dvali
- 4A. Hoffmann
- 2D. Medina
- 31A. Bozhev
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA 1948 have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lokomotiv Sofia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Levski Sofia(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CSKA 1948 wins, 1 draw, 2 Lokomotiv Sofia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia 1-3 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | CSKA 1948 3-2 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| May 14, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSKA 1948 1-4 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA 1948 on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA 1948 score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA 1948 sit 4th in First League (22 points from 11 matches) and Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th (8 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 22 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Lokomotiv Sofia.
- Where and when is CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia played?
- CSKA 1948 vs Lokomotiv Sofia is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vitosha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.