Lokomotiv vs Zenit: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)RZD Arena, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Lokomotiv. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zenit wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
Zenit starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (2,195 vs 1,980).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv vs Zenit
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv
4-2-3-1- 27N. Komlichenko
- 18N. Titkov
- 7Z. Bakaev
- 19A. Rudenko
- 6S. Babkin
- 75I. Eremeev
- 23C. Montes
- 24M. Nenakhov
- 45A. Siljanov
- 3Lucas Fasson
- 1A. Mitryushkin
Zenit
4-2-3-1- 7A. Sobolev
- 93A. Karpukas
- 5W. Barrios
- 11Luiz Henrique
- 20Pedro Henrique
- 10M. Glushenkov
- 33Nino
- 31Gustavo Mantuan
- 28N. Alip
- 3Douglas Santos
- 16D. Adamov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Zenit have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Akron(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Krylia Sovetov(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zenit(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Dinamo Makhachkala(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bate Borisov(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Baltika(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv win, 3 draws, 2 Zenit wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zenit 2-1 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv 0-0 Zenit | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Zenit 2-0 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Lokomotiv 1-1 Zenit | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Zenit 1-1 Lokomotiv | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Lokomotiv 3-1 Zenit | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zenit score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Zenit | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv sit 13th in Premier League (10 points from 10 matches) and Zenit sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zenit | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv vs Zenit?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zenit the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Lokomotiv.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv vs Zenit played?
- Lokomotiv vs Zenit is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at RZD Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.