FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Krasnodar, Krasnodar
The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Rodina Moskva. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva?
FC Krasnodar starts as the favourite with a 230-point Elo edge (2,082 vs 1,852).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1- 9J. Córdoba
- 18Christian
- 6Kevin Pina
- 11Batxi
- 53A. Chernikov
- 10D. Vorobjev
- 5Jubal
- 40I. Vakhania
- 2M. Rodríguez
- 15L. Olaza
- 1S. Agkatsev
Rodina Moskva
5-4-1- 7G. Onugkha
- 5A. Egorychev
- 10Y. Reyna
- 18M. Abdusalamov
- 17S. Bakaev
- 20D. Machado
- 2Igor Silva
- 50Rodrigo Becão
- 38L. Musaev
- 75M. Nadé
- 13S. Volkov
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Krasnodar have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Rodina Moskva have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | CSKA Moscow(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rodina Moskva(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Dynamo(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Baltika(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lokomotiv(away) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Akhmat(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | FC Krasnodar(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Orenburg(away) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fakel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Orenburg(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 FC Krasnodar win, 0 draws, 1 Rodina Moskva win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rodina Moskva 2-1 FC Krasnodar | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FC Krasnodar 3-0 Rodina Moskva | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Rodina Moskva vs FC Krasnodar on Oct 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Krasnodar score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Rodina Moskva score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Rodina Moskva | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Krasnodar sit 4th in Premier League (26 points from 14 matches) and Rodina Moskva sit 13th (12 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 13 | Rodina Moskva | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 12 |
A question about FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva?
- The Footlab AI model makes FC Krasnodar the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Rodina Moskva.
- Where and when is FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva played?
- FC Krasnodar vs Rodina Moskva is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Krasnodar, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.