Lommel United vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Soeverein Stadion, Lommel
The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lommel United vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise is a heavy favourite: 2,190 Elo points against 1,881, a 310-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lommel United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 5-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lommel United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Union St. Gilloise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2021 | Lommel United 0-2 Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Union St. Gilloise 3-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Lommel United 0-1 Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Union St. Gilloise 4-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Union St. Gilloise 2-2 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Lommel United 0-0 Union St. Gilloise | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Lommel United vs Union St. Gilloise on Apr 11, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lommel United sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Lommel United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lommel United vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is Lommel United vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Lommel United vs Union St. Gilloise is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Soeverein Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.