Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, Lorca
The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for La Unión Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorca Deportiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Lorca Deportiva (1,884) and La Unión Atlético (1,884).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorca Deportiva
4-3-3- 10Dani Albiar
- 19G. Lopez
- 17José Naranjo
- 8Á. Martinez Nicolas
- 24J. Acevedo
- 21A. Heredia
- 12Jaime Escobar
- 18Fran Tafalla
- 15Fromsa
- 5H. Galiano
- 13F. Arbol
La Unión Atlético
4-3-3- 12M. Perez
- 23Josema Raigal
- 9Francis
- 21Orobiogoikoetxea
- 7Yerai Dávila Fuentes
- 6G. Bernabeu
- 16Mario Gómez
- 4Roan Riera
- 22A. Grande
- 11D. Marquez
- 13Hector Oliva
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorca Deportiva have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; La Unión Atlético have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lorca Deportiva wins, 2 draws, 2 La Unión Atlético wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | La Unión Atlético 1-2 Lorca Deportiva | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva 1-2 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 21, 2023 | Lorca Deportiva 0-1 La Unión Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 14, 2023 | La Unión Atlético 0-0 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Lorca Deportiva 2-1 La Unión Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 23, 2022 | La Unión Atlético 0-0 Lorca Deportiva | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: La Unión Atlético vs Lorca Deportiva on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lorca Deportiva score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; La Unión Atlético score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca Deportiva | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| La Unión Atlético | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lorca Deportiva | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorca Deportiva the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for La Unión Atlético.
- Where and when is Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético played?
- Lorca Deportiva vs La Unión Atlético is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Francisco Artés Carrasco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.