Castellonense vs Poblense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, Castelló
The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Poblense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellonense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellonense vs Poblense?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Castellonense (1,892) and Poblense (1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellonense vs Poblense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Poblense
4-3-3- 19Alberto Fernández
- 11Aitor Pons
- 23Antoni Peñafort
- 8M. Femenias
- 18G. Teruel
- 16Payeras Marti
- 15Pep Vidal
- 20Juan Suasi
- 6Joan Salvà
- 10D. Martinez
- 1Vincenç Sabater
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellonense have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Poblense have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Castellonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Castellonense win, 0 draws, 0 Poblense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense 1-2 Castellonense | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Poblense vs Castellonense on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Poblense score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Poblense | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellonense sit 4th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (12 points from 6 matches) and Poblense sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 14 | Poblense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Castellonense vs Poblense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellonense vs Poblense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellonense the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Poblense.
- Where and when is Castellonense vs Poblense played?
- Castellonense vs Poblense is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Poliesportiu Municipal Antonio Escuriet, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.