Loznica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lagator, Loznica
The Footlab model makes Loznica the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loznica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV?
Loznica starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,522).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loznica have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grafičar(away) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borac Cacak(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dubočica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Naftagas(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Javor(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | TSC Backa Topola(away) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Teleoptik(home) | 2-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Metalac GM(away) | 4-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Bor 1919(home) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Loznica score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loznica | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loznica sit 10th in Prva Liga (4 points from 5 matches) and FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Loznica | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loznica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV?
- The Footlab model makes Loznica the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV.
- Where and when is Loznica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV played?
- Loznica vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lagator, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.