Match

Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola: prediction and stats

Prva LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Borca kraj Morave, Čačak

Borac CacakTSC Backa Topola

The Footlab model makes Borac Cacak the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for TSC Backa Topola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola?

A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Borac Cacak (1,657) and TSC Backa Topola (1,678).

Borac Cacak win43 %
Draw29 %
TSC Backa Topola win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borac Cacak have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; TSC Backa Topola have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borac Cacak
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dubočica(away)2-0Prva Liga
Aug 19, 2026Naftagas(home)2-1Prva Liga
Aug 14, 2026Loznica(away)3-2Prva Liga
Aug 8, 2026FK Vozdovac(home)1-0Prva Liga
Aug 1, 2026Semendrija 1924(away)2-3Prva Liga
TSC Backa Topola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Napredak(away)2-1Prva Liga
Aug 19, 2026FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home)2-2Prva Liga
Aug 15, 2026Jedinstvo Ub(away)3-2Prva Liga
Aug 9, 2026Javor(home)1-1Prva Liga
Aug 1, 2026OFK Vršac(home)1-0Prva Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Borac Cacak win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 TSC Backa Topola win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 10, 2019Borac Cacak 0-3 TSC Backa TopolaPrva Liga
Oct 13, 2018TSC Backa Topola 0-0 Borac CacakPrva Liga

Last archived meeting: Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola on Mar 10, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Borac Cacak score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSC Backa Topola score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borac Cacak1.70.977/156/15
TSC Backa Topola2.11.5114/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borac Cacak sit 1st in Prva Liga (12 points from 5 matches) and TSC Backa Topola sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Borac Cacak540110612
3TSC Backa Topola53209611

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola?
The Footlab model makes Borac Cacak the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for TSC Backa Topola.
Where and when is Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola played?
Borac Cacak vs TSC Backa Topola is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Borca kraj Morave, in the Prva Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Borac Cacak and TSC Backa Topola

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