LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Spartac: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Clinceni - Arena 1, Clinceni
The Footlab model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for LPS HD Clinceni. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Spartac?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate LPS HD Clinceni (1,457) and Progresul Spartac (1,478).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, LPS HD Clinceni have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Progresul Spartac have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CIL Blaj(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metaloglobus(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bolintin Vale(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 8-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 LPS HD Clinceni win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Progresul Spartac win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | LPS HD Clinceni 0-2 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Progresul Spartac 2-4 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Aug 6, 2025 | LPS HD Clinceni 2-0 Progresul Spartac | Cupa României |
| Nov 29, 2024 | LPS HD Clinceni 0-1 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Progresul Spartac 1-0 LPS HD Clinceni | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Spartac on Nov 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
LPS HD Clinceni score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Progresul Spartac score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPS HD Clinceni | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Progresul Spartac | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
LPS HD Clinceni sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 5 (39 points from 20 matches) and Progresul Spartac sit 3rd (35 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | LPS HD Clinceni | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Spartac?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for LPS HD Clinceni.
- Where and when is LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Spartac played?
- LPS HD Clinceni vs Progresul Spartac is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Clinceni - Arena 1, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.