Progresul Spartac vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Progresul Spartac, București
The Footlab model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Spartac vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu?
Progresul Spartac starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,478 vs 1,332).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Spartac have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CIL Blaj(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metaloglobus(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Bolintin Vale(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(home) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 8-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Alexandria(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Progresul Spartac win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Spartac 4-2 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Progresul Spartac 4-1 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 0-1 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Progresul Spartac 2-1 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 2-1 Progresul Spartac | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Progresul Spartac vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Spartac score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Spartac | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Spartac sit 3rd in Liga III - Serie 5 (35 points from 6 matches) and Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu sit 4th (27 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Progresul Spartac | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 35 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Spartac vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Spartac the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu.
- Where and when is Progresul Spartac vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu played?
- Progresul Spartac vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Progresul Spartac, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.