Lucchese vs Arezzo: result 2-2 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
Full time
What was the result of Lucchese vs Arezzo?
Lucchese and Arezzo drew 2-2 on September 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 10′G. TerraniLucchese
- 34′Mirko BrucciniLucchese
- 53′D. MoscardelliArezzo (pen.)
- 80′A. PolidoriArezzo
Official lineup for Lucchese vs Arezzo
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Lucchese
- 9F. Forte
- 11G. Terrani
- 28G. De Feo
- 8N. Mingazzini
- 15M. Nolè
- 16Mirko Bruccini
- 4Filippo Florio
- 6Ciro Capuano
- 19M. Espeche
- 29K. Dermaku
- 22T. Nobile
Arezzo
- 9D. Moscardelli
- 18A. Polidori
- 7M. Corradi
- 8F. Foglia
- 10Horacio Nicolás Erpen Bariffo
- 13G. De Feudis
- 2Z. Muscat
- 3Sergio Sabatino
- 16A. Luciani
- 23A. Sirri
- 1Massimiliano Benassi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Arezzo have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Livorno(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Alessandria(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Olbia(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Piacenza(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2016 | Tuttocuoio(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 14, 2016 | Alessandria(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Robur Siena(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Carrarese(away) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Como(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucchese score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 5; Arezzo score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucchese | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| Arezzo | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy