Lucchese vs Arezzo: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 1Kick-off on September 16, 2018 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
Full time
What was the result of Lucchese vs Arezzo?
Arezzo won 0-1 on September 16, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 85′D. BuglioArezzo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Arezzo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2018 | PRO Piacenza(home) | 0-4 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Olbia(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Giana Erminio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 7, 2018 | Arzachena(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 3, 2018 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2018 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Pisa(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Prato(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 17, 2018 | Monza(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 14, 2018 | Robur Siena(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lucchese win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Arezzo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2018 | Lucchese 1-1 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2017 | Arezzo 0-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 12, 2017 | Arezzo 0-0 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Lucchese 2-2 Arezzo | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lucchese score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Arezzo score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucchese | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Arezzo | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy