Ludogorets vs Real Madrid: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 2Kick-off on October 1, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Vasil Levski, Sofia
Full time
What was the result of Ludogorets vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 1-2 on October 1, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 6′MarcelinhoLudogorets
- 25′Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid (pen.)
- 77′K. BenzemaReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Madrid have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2014 | Liverpool(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 27, 2014 | FCSB(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2014 | FCSB(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 6, 2014 | FK Partizan(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2014 | FK Partizan(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2014 | Villarreal(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2014 | Elche(home) | 5-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 8-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2014 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy