Young Boys II vs Luzern II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
The Footlab model makes Young Boys II the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Luzern II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Young Boys II vs Luzern II?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Young Boys II (1,665) and Luzern II (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Young Boys II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Luzern II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lugano II(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brühl(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Breitenrain(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 23, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Young Boys II win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Luzern II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Young Boys II 3-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Luzern II 0-4 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Young Boys II 1-0 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Luzern II 3-1 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Luzern II 4-1 Young Boys II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Young Boys II 3-4 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Young Boys II vs Luzern II on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Young Boys II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Young Boys II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Young Boys II sit 13th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 3 matches) and Luzern II sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Young Boys II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| 15 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Young Boys II vs Luzern II?
- The Footlab model makes Young Boys II the favourite at 50%, against 19% for a draw and 30% for Luzern II.
- Where and when is Young Boys II vs Luzern II played?
- Young Boys II vs Luzern II is played on August 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Wankdorf, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.