Lugano II vs Brühl: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on May 22, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, Lugano
The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Lugano II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugano II vs Brühl?
Brühl starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Brühl have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 4-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wiesendangen(away) | 6-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luzern II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Young Boys II(home) | 4-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lugano II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Brühl win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Lugano II 4-2 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Brühl 4-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Brühl 2-1 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Lugano II 1-2 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Lugano II 4-0 Brühl | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Brühl 1-0 Lugano II | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano II score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brühl score 2.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano II | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Brühl | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano II sit 17th in 1. Liga Promotion (3 points from 4 matches) and Brühl sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Brühl | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 17 | Lugano II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugano II vs Brühl?
- The Footlab model makes Brühl the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Lugano II.
- Where and when is Lugano II vs Brühl played?
- Lugano II vs Brühl is played on May 22, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Centro sportivo Cornaredo B2, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.