Lugano vs Mercedes: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera CRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 17, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Lugano vs Mercedes?
Mercedes won 0-1 on August 17, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 36′545394Mercedes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Mercedes have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Central Cordoba(away) | 1-1 | Primera C |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Puerto Nuevo(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Berazategui(away) | 0-3 | Primera C |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Ituzaingó(home) | 1-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 7, 2025 | Deportivo Español(away) | 2-1 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2025 | Berazategui(home) | 1-3 | Primera C |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Ituzaingó(away) | 2-3 | Primera C |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Deportivo Español(home) | 3-0 | Primera C |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Claypole(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Deportivo Muñiz(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lugano wins, 3 draws, 1 Mercedes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2025 | Mercedes 1-1 Lugano | Primera C |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Mercedes 2-2 Lugano | Primera C |
| May 27, 2024 | Lugano 0-0 Mercedes | Primera C |
| Oct 9, 2023 | Mercedes 2-1 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugano score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mercedes score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugano | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Mercedes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugano sit 7th in Primera C (46 points from 32 matches) and Mercedes sit 5th (47 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mercedes | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 47 |
| 7 | Lugano | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 46 |
A question about Lugano vs Mercedes?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 15, 2025Deportivo Paraguayo0-1Sportivo Barracas
- Aug 15, 2025Ituzaingó1-0Defensores de Cambaceres
- Aug 16, 2025Canuelas0-1Centro Español
- Aug 16, 2025Lujan1-0Yupanqui
- Aug 16, 2025Berazategui5-1Leandro N. Alem
- Aug 16, 2025Puerto Nuevo1-2Central Cordoba
- Aug 16, 2025Atletico Atlas1-0Juventud Unida
- Aug 17, 2025Victoriano Arenas0-4General Lamadrid