Mercedes vs Lugano: result 1-1 and analysis
Primera CRegular Season - 9Kick-off on May 2, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Liga Mercedes, Mercedes, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Full time
What was the result of Mercedes vs Lugano?
Mercedes and Lugano drew 1-1 on May 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 42′545524Mercedes
- 49′545400Lugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercedes have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Lugano have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Berazategui(away) | 1-3 | Primera C |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Ituzaingó(home) | 1-0 | Primera C |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Deportivo Español(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Claypole(home) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Mar 31, 2025 | Deportivo Muñiz(away) | 0-0 | Primera C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Central Cordoba(home) | 1-3 | Primera C |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Puerto Nuevo(away) | 0-1 | Primera C |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Berazategui(home) | 2-0 | Primera C |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Ituzaingó(away) | 0-2 | Primera C |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Deportivo Español(home) | 0-0 | Primera C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mercedes win, 2 draws, 3 Lugano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Mercedes 2-2 Lugano | Primera C |
| May 27, 2024 | Lugano 0-0 Mercedes | Primera C |
| Oct 9, 2023 | Mercedes 2-1 Lugano | Primera D |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lugano 2-1 Mercedes | Primera D |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Mercedes 1-2 Lugano | Primera D |
How many goals should we expect?
Mercedes score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lugano score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Lugano | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mercedes sit 5th in Primera C (47 points from 32 matches) and Lugano sit 7th (46 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mercedes | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 47 |
| 7 | Lugano | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 46 |
A question about Mercedes vs Lugano?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 2, 2025Yupanqui1-2Lujan
- May 2, 2025Leandro N. Alem0-1Berazategui
- May 2, 2025Defensores de Cambaceres0-0Ituzaingó
- May 2, 2025Centro Español1-1Canuelas
- May 3, 2025Estrella Del Sur1-1Central Ballester
- May 3, 2025JJ Urquiza1-2Claypole
- May 3, 2025Juventud Unida2-1Atletico Atlas
- May 3, 2025Deportivo Camioneros2-0Argentino Rosario