Lugo vs Alcorcon: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 15, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
Full time
What was the result of Lugo vs Alcorcon?
Lugo won 1-0 on January 15, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 79′PedrazaLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | Levante(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Numancia(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Tenerife(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2017 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Tenerife(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Girona(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Oviedo(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Alcorcon | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy