Alcorcon vs Zaragoza: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Zaragoza. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Zaragoza?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,894) and Zaragoza (1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zaragoza have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Villarreal II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | UD Logroñés(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Alcorcon win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zaragoza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | Alcorcon 0-0 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Zaragoza 0-2 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| May 8, 2022 | Zaragoza 0-3 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Alcorcon 1-2 Zaragoza | Segunda División |
| Feb 22, 2021 | Zaragoza 0-1 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Jan 5, 2021 | Alcorcon 2-1 Zaragoza | Copa del Rey |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Zaragoza score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Zaragoza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs Zaragoza?
- The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Zaragoza.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs Zaragoza played?
- Alcorcon vs Zaragoza is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.