Lugo vs Extremadura: result 1-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 13, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
Full time
What was the result of Lugo vs Extremadura?
Lugo and Extremadura drew 1-1 on January 13, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 7′Carlos PitaLugo
- 46′Kike MárquezExtremadura
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Extremadura have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2019 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Almeria(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 9, 2018 | Las Palmas(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2018 | Levante(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | Alcorcon(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 22, 2018 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Dec 16, 2018 | Gimnastic(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 7, 2018 | Tenerife(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Dec 1, 2018 | Almeria(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Extremadura score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Extremadura | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy