Lugo vs Numancia: result 3-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 11, 2016 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
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What was the result of Lugo vs Numancia?
Lugo won 3-1 on December 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′JoseluLugo
- 15′Iñigo PérezNumancia
- 49′Marcelo DjalóLugo
- 65′JoseluLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Numancia have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Tenerife(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Girona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Oviedo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Valladolid(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Elche(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugo score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Numancia score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugo | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Numancia | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy