Match

Numancia vs Albacete II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaAlbacete II

The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Albacete II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Numancia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Albacete II?

Numancia starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,852).

56%25%19%
Numancia winDrawAlbacete II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Numancia vs Albacete II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Numancia

4-3-3
  1. 9Jony González
  2. 14Alejandro Gil Rochina
  3. 26C. Godson
  1. 8M. Gning
  2. 5O. De Frutos
  3. 6N. Lucas Rey
  1. 2Marcos Sánchez
  2. 16Carlos Gutiérrez
  3. 22Fermín Ruiz
  4. 4Ian Olivera
  1. 1M. Abad

Albacete II

Not enough data to predict the Albacete II lineup.

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Albacete II have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026CF Talavera(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Real Ávila(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 4, 2026Getafe II(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Guadalajara(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026SS Reyes(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Getafe II(away)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Conquense(away)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 3, 2026CF Talavera(home)0-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026Atlético Paso(home)2-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 20, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)1-6Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete II score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.10.595/154/15
Albacete II1.21.765/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Numancia sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (12 points from 6 matches) and Albacete II sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Numancia63306112
15Albacete II71339216

A question about Numancia vs Albacete II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Albacete II?
The Footlab AI model makes Numancia the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Albacete II.
Where and when is Numancia vs Albacete II played?
Numancia vs Albacete II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Numancia and Albacete II

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