Match

Numancia vs Albacete II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

NumanciaAlbacete II

The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Albacete II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Numancia vs Albacete II?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Numancia (1,941) and Albacete II (1,905).

Numancia win47 %
Draw27 %
Albacete II win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Numancia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Albacete II have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Numancia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zaragoza(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Poblense(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Poblense(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Marino de Luanco(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Langreo(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

How many goals should we expect?

Numancia score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Numancia1.30.949/157/15
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Numancia vs Albacete II?
The Footlab model makes Numancia the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Albacete II.
Where and when is Numancia vs Albacete II played?
Numancia vs Albacete II is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Numancia and Albacete II

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