Luparense vs Mestre: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, San Martino di Lupari
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Mestre. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luparense vs Mestre?
On Elo ratings, Luparense has 1,788 points and Mestre 1,737.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Luparense vs Mestre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Luparense
Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.
Mestre
Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luparense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mestre have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Este(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Brian Lignano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Clodiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Schio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Schio(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Luparense win, 4 draws, 1 Mestre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mestre 1-1 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Luparense 1-2 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Mestre 0-0 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Luparense 0-0 Mestre | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Mestre 1-2 Luparense | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Luparense 0-0 Mestre | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Luparense score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luparense | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mestre | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luparense sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone C (14 points from 6 matches) and Mestre sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Luparense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Luparense vs Mestre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luparense vs Mestre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Mestre.
- Where and when is Luparense vs Mestre played?
- Luparense vs Mestre is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Gianni Casée, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.