Lusitânia Lourosa vs Guarda Desportiva: result 4-1 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 5Kick-off on October 30, 2022 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Lusitânia FC, Lourosa
Full time
What was the result of Lusitânia Lourosa vs Guarda Desportiva?
Lusitânia Lourosa won 4-1 on October 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 8′IvanildoLusitânia Lourosa
- 24′IvanildoLusitânia Lourosa
- 56′A. DuvergerGuarda Desportiva
- 59′ViniLusitânia Lourosa
- 63′Diogo RosadoLusitânia Lourosa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitânia Lourosa have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Guarda Desportiva have 1, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | Resende(home) | 3-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Gondomar(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Salgueiros(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Rebordosa(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Oliveira Hospital(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2022 | Gondomar(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Salgueiros(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2022 | AR São Martinho(away) | 3-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Rebordosa(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Alpendorada(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Lusitânia Lourosa score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Guarda Desportiva score 1.2 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Guarda Desportiva | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy