Lusitânia Lourosa vs Vizela: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Lusitânia FC, Lourosa
The Footlab model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Vizela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lusitânia Lourosa vs Vizela?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Lusitânia Lourosa (1,923) and Vizela (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitânia Lourosa have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vizela have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vizela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vizela 4-3 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Vizela 1-3 Lusitânia Lourosa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Lusitânia Lourosa 4-3 Vizela | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vizela score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vizela | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd in Segunda Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Vizela sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Vizela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Vizela?
- The Footlab model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Vizela.
- Where and when is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Vizela played?
- Lusitânia Lourosa vs Vizela is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Lusitânia FC, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.