Lusitânia vs Benfica: result 1-4 and analysis
Taça de Portugal3rd RoundKick-off on October 20, 2023 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Campo de Jogos de São Mateus da Calheta, Angra do Heroísmo
Full time
What was the result of Lusitânia vs Benfica?
Benfica won 1-4 on October 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 9′João MárioBenfica
- 36′RafaBenfica
- 45′Enzo Paolo Borlido FerraraLusitânia (pen.)
- 68′Arthur CabralBenfica
- 87′Tiago GouveiaBenfica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lusitânia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Benfica have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | União de Tomar(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 1, 2023 | União de Coimbra(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Os Marialvas(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sertanense(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2023 | Estoril(away) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2023 | FC Porto(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Portimonense(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Red Bull Salzburg(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lusitânia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica score 1.6 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Benfica | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy