Lustenau vs Fügen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Holzstraße, Lustenau
The Footlab model makes Fügen the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lustenau vs Fügen?
Fügen starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,520).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lustenau have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Fügen have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rheindorf Altach II(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kufstein(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hohenems(away) | 0-6 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kitzbühel(home) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kufstein(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hohenems(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaz(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Innsbrucker AC(away) | 3-2 | Landesliga - Tirol |
How many goals should we expect?
Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fügen score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustenau | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Fügen | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lustenau sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (1 points from 4 matches) and Fügen sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fügen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Lustenau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lustenau vs Fügen?
- The Footlab model makes Fügen the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lustenau.
- Where and when is Lustenau vs Fügen played?
- Lustenau vs Fügen is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Holzstraße, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.