Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Gernot Langes Stadion, Wattens
The Footlab model makes Swarovski Tirol II the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Kitzbühel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Swarovski Tirol II (1,736) and Kitzbühel (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swarovski Tirol II have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wolfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Imst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | SVG Reichenau(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dornbirn(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Telfs(home) | 2-1 | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Swarovski Tirol II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kitzbühel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2024 | Kitzbühel 2-1 Swarovski Tirol II | Landesliga - Tirol |
| May 12, 2024 | Swarovski Tirol II 3-0 Kitzbühel | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Swarovski Tirol II 3-0 Kitzbühel | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Kitzbühel 0-0 Swarovski Tirol II | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Kitzbühel 1-2 Swarovski Tirol II | Regionalliga - Tirol |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Swarovski Tirol II 4-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - Tirol |
Last archived meeting: Kitzbühel vs Swarovski Tirol II on Jun 15, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Swarovski Tirol II score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swarovski Tirol II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swarovski Tirol II sit 9th in Regionalliga - West (4 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Swarovski Tirol II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes Swarovski Tirol II the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Kitzbühel.
- Where and when is Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel played?
- Swarovski Tirol II vs Kitzbühel is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Gernot Langes Stadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.