Luton vs AFC Wimbledon: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 16, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs AFC Wimbledon?
AFC Wimbledon won 0-1 on August 16, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 42′M. TubbsAFC Wimbledon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2014 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Carlisle(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Hyde United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Forest Green(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Welling United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2014 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| May 3, 2014 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Morecambe(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Apr 21, 2014 | Plymouth(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy