Luton vs Arsenal: result 3-4 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2023 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 3-4 on December 5, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 20′Gabriel MartinelliArsenal
- 25′G. OshoLuton
- 45′Gabriel JesusArsenal
- 49′E. AdebayoLuton
- 57′R. BarkleyLuton
- 60′K. HavertzArsenal
- 90′D. RiceArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Arsenal have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | Brentford(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Manchester United(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Liverpool(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Aston Villa(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | Wolves(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Lens(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Brentford(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Sevilla(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 2.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Arsenal | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy