Aston Villa vs Manchester City: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2023 at 08:15 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
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What was the result of Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Aston Villa won 1-0 on December 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 74′L. BaileyAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Manchester City have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Bournemouth(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Legia Warszawa(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Tottenham(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Fulham(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2023 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | Tottenham(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2023 | RB Leipzig(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Liverpool(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Chelsea(away) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2023 | BSC Young Boys(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aston Villa win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Manchester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Manchester City 3-1 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Aston Villa 1-1 Manchester City | Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | Manchester City 3-2 Aston Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2021 | Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester City | Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2021 | Manchester City 2-0 Aston Villa | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester City vs Aston Villa on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2.3 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Manchester City | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aston Villa sit 20th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Manchester City sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 20 | Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy