Luton vs Cheltenham: result 2-4 and analysis
FA Cup2nd RoundKick-off on December 3, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Cheltenham?
Cheltenham won 2-4 on December 3, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 2′D. DuffyCheltenham
- 40′Aaron O'ConnorLuton
- 45′M. PackCheltenham
- 51′Aaron O'ConnorLuton
- 64′L. SummerfieldCheltenham
- 90′Russell PennCheltenham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cheltenham have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2011 | AFC Telford United(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Newport County(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Oxford United(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Port Vale(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Tranmere(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 8, 2011 | Barnet(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Bradford(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy