Cheltenham vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Completely-Suzuki Stadium, Cheltenham, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheltenham vs Rochdale?
Rochdale starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,734).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheltenham vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 26J. Shipley
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 33F. Willcox
- 7B. Stevenson
- 25P. Sweeney
- 6J. Wilson
- 17S. McWilliams
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 17B. Adeeko
- 8H. Gilmour
- 45G. Middleton
- 21Kane Taylor
- 7C. Hayes
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 2C. Tasker
- 44A. Flint
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheltenham have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Cheltenham wins, 1 draw, 3 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2014 | Rochdale 2-0 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Cheltenham 1-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jan 25, 2013 | Cheltenham 0-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Dec 21, 2012 | Rochdale 4-1 Cheltenham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rochdale vs Cheltenham on Apr 26, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Cheltenham score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheltenham sit 8th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Rochdale sit 13th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cheltenham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 15 |
| 13 | Rochdale | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Cheltenham vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheltenham vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Cheltenham vs Rochdale played?
- Cheltenham vs Rochdale is played on December 1, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Completely-Suzuki Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.