Luton vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 20, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Kenilworth Road, Luton, Bedfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Luton vs Derby?
Luton won 2-1 on December 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 58′K. JacksonDerby
- 89′T. HolmesLuton
- 90′C. MorrisLuton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luton have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | Blackburn(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Stoke City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Swansea(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Norwich(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Leeds(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | Portsmouth(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Burnley(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Leeds(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Luton win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | Luton 1-0 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Derby 2-2 Luton | Championship |
| Apr 2, 2021 | Derby 2-0 Luton | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Luton 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 28, 2020 | Luton 3-2 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Derby 2-0 Luton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Luton score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy